State-Level Institutional Capacity Assessment

Missouri

MO · Gov. Mike Kehoe (R) · diversified services

Systematization
·

Population

6.2M

GSP

$425B

Total Budget

$51B

Budget / capita

$8,226

Legal Regime

Home Rule

Systematization · Primary constraint

Converting episodic innovation wins (MO Open Checkbook leadership, ITSD consolidation 2004, NGA West regional partnership) into durable cross-agency Systematization in a high-municipal-preemption R-trifecta context. MO has CIO Wann + ITSD enterprise + Volcker B + GFOA + Aaa/AAA/AAA bond ratings — but with 4 innovation markers, no CDO, and lost R4A Honorable Mention from 2022, the Systematization pattern needs reinforcement. Cluster B work under the Kehoe administration is restoring momentum across the consolidated IT enterprise.

01

Governance Architecture

Gubernatorial appointmentbroad
Line-item vetoYes
Budget authorityexecutive
Legislaturehybrid · bicameral
Home rule to localitiesYes
Preemption posture on citieshigh
02

Workforce Structure

Civil servicemerit
Public-sector CBfull
Merit protectionsmoderate
State Hatch analogYes
Total state employees50K
Trajectorystable
03

Fiscal Architecture

Total budget$51B
Revenue mixInc 41% · Sales 23% · Fed 36%
Bond ratingsAaa / AAA / AAA
Rainy day fund8% of budget
Structural balancebalanced
Pension funded ratio81%
Volcker gradeB (FY2018-2020)
04

Scale & Complexity

Population6.2M
GSP$425B
GSP per capita$68,548
Agencies90
Federal grant dependence35.6% of revenue
05

External Environment

Federal funding per capita$10,700
Federal installations4 named
TrifectaR-trifecta
Economic archetypediversified services

Missouri's economy splits between St. Louis (Boeing Defense, NGA West, Edward Jones, Anheuser-Busch, BJC HealthCare, Washington U) and Kansas City (financial services, Hallmark, Garmin, Cerner now Oracle Health). Springfield anchors the Ozarks economy. The state has one of the most aggressive municipal preemption postures nationally (preempting KC/STL on minimum wage, rent control, public health). Hancock Amendment (1980) caps revenue growth without voter approval. Earnings tax (1% income tax in KC + STL) is contested every 5 years. Kehoe (R) succeeded Parson Jan 2025. NGA West relocation to North St. Louis is a federal-anchor anchor moment for the region.

06

Innovation Assets

Innovation markers4 / 8
State CIOJeff Wann
Digital service teamInformation Technology Services Division (ITSD) — Office of Administration (2004)
R4A 2024Not certified
GFOA ACFRYes
NASCIO awards (5y)2
State AI governance policyNo
Performance contractingemerging

Peer states share structural profile (cluster, scale, archetype). Peer match is intra-level — states match states.

01

Evidence-Based Policymaking

H2+ · high complexity

Building state-level institutional infrastructure for data-driven decision-making across major budget line items and policy decisions. Draws on the Results for America State Standard of Excellence framework, the Pew-MacArthur Results First Initiative, and the state-government adaptations of the J-PAL / Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab evaluation methodology applied through state-level offices (Tennessee Office of Evidence and Impact, MN Performance Management, NC Office of Strategic Partnerships).

For Cluster B (Systematization)

For Cluster B states, the target is R4A Honorable Mention → Silver → Gold progression. The certification process itself is the intervention — it systematizes data practices across executive branch agencies in 12-24 months. Build the state Office of Evidence and Impact with dedicated personnel.

H2- absorption risk

H1 absorption pattern: state Office of Evidence and Impact stands up but produces reports no one reads; performance metrics defined by departments themselves, optimizing for legibility rather than impact. Or, R4A certification achieved but practices don't outlive the certification cycle — evaluation office staffed but not influential on actual budget decisions. The H2+ test is whether evidence actually changes the marginal-dollar allocation between programs from one budget cycle to the next.

02

State Digital Service Delivery

H2+ · high complexity

Establishing and resourcing a state-level digital service team (NJ OOI, CA ODI, GA Technology Authority, MN IT Services, UT OOI, FL Digital Service) to modernize benefits delivery, citizen-facing portals, and inter-agency data exchange. Draws on the USDS / Code for America playbook applied at state scale, the Beeck Center's Digital Government Network (formerly Digital Service Network, merged early 2026), and Bloomberg's What Works Cities adaptation.

For Cluster B (Systematization)

For Cluster B states, stand up a digital service team if absent (5-15 FTE), audit the 5 most-used citizen services, and ship measurable improvements within 12 months. Use the Beeck Center DGN as peer-benchmarking network.

H2- absorption risk

H1 absorption pattern: 'state digital transformation' becomes a multi-year ERP procurement that ports paper processes to PDFs without changing the underlying service experience. Healthcare.gov pre-rescue is the canonical case at federal level; CMS-funded MITA Medicaid IT projects are the state equivalent. The H2+ test is whether the state is building durable internal digital service capacity or just procuring vendor-led platforms.

Population Δ (10 yr)+2.5%
Median household income$65,920
Poverty rate13%
ALICE threshold37%
Uninsured rate9%
Industry diversity70 / 100
Monoeconomy risklow
R4A engagementNot certified
Bachelor's or higher31%

This is a living diagnostic. Spot something wrong or out of date? Suggest a sourced edit, or add context for other public innovators. Contributions are reviewed before they go live — sourced corrections are applied to the underlying data, improving it over time.

Sources

The Civic Infrastructure Diagnostic Framework’s structural elements — the four cluster labels, the six capacity dimensions, and the binding-constraint framing — are licensed under CC BY 4.0. Anyone may use or adapt them with attribution. Tool implementation and full article text © 2026 JTV Advisory LLC.